全球光伏产业链贸易模式的演变和脆弱性分析
Chao Ding1,2, Xiaobei Ren3
1School of Management, Hebei GEO University, No. 136 Huai'an East Road, Yuhua District, Shijiazhuang City, 050031, Hebei, China.
Scientific reports
|February 20, 2025
概括
全球光伏 (PV) 产业的贸易模式正在向多极化转变,其中包括中国.
科学领域:
- 能源政策 能源政策
- 国际贸易 国际贸易 国际贸易
- 网络分析 网络分析
背景情况:
- 全球能源需求不断增长,需要像光伏发电 (PV) 这样的可持续解决方案.
- 了解光伏行业不断变化的贸易动态和网络漏洞对于能源安全至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析从2000年到2023年全球光伏产业链贸易模式的转型.
- 评估关键节点故障对光伏行业网络漏洞的影响.
主要方法:
- 使用的全球光伏产品贸易数据跨越2000-2023.
- 采用网络分析技术,包括假设的攻击策略和PageRank中心性,以评估网络漏洞.
- 检查了光伏产业链上游,中游和下游部分的弹性.
主要成果:
- 太阳能产业链贸易模式已经向多极化发展,中国在所有领域的作用越来越重要.
- 太阳能产业链的整体网络脆弱性正在下降,这表明弹性增强.
- 上游部分与更强大的中游和下游部分相比,上游部分表现出更高的易受性和脆弱性.
结论:
- 全球光伏行业呈现出一个充满活力和日益多极化的贸易格局,其中中国是核心参与者.
- 太阳能光伏产业链网络证明了对中断的抵御能力有所提高,特别是在下游行业.
- 需要有针对性的战略来缓解在光伏行业上游部分发现的更高脆弱性.
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