从2020年到2023年,日本COVID-19的时空模式的变化
Atsuna Tokumoto1, Kazuaki Jindai2, Tomoki Nakaya3
1Department of Public Health, Institute of Science Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; Department of Pediatrics, JA Toride Medical Center, Ibaraki, Japan.
Journal of infection and public health
|February 22, 2025
概括
COVID-19最初省略了非大都会地区的日本,但传播转移,到2022年底,这些地区观察到更高的感染和死亡率. 这凸显了在传染病管理中解决地理差异的必要性.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 传染病的动态传染病的动态.
背景情况:
- 冠状病毒疾病2019 (COVID-19) 在全球范围内的传播有所不同,而日本的时空趋势尚未得到充分研究.
- 之前的研究缺乏对日本各县COVID-19演变的详细分析.
研究的目的:
- 为了调查日本COVID-19感染和死亡的时空演变.
- 分析大都市与非大都市地区COVID-19传播模式的变化.
主要方法:
- 利用了2020年1月至2023年5月的开源数据.
- 计算的发病率和死亡率,比较县级和国家级.
- 采用波桑回归来分析非大都会和大都会县之间的发病率比率 (IRR).
主要成果:
- 日本经历了八次COVID-19浪潮,总计超过3300万例感染和74,000例死亡.
- 最初,传输集中在大都市地区;非大都市地区的传输率较低,直到2022年中期.
- 到了第八波,非大都市地区的感染率 (1.25) 和死亡率 (1.38) 的IRR增加.
结论:
- 日本的COVID-19传播动态发生了转变,从2022年底开始对非大都市地区的影响增加.
- 大都会和非大都会县之间的COVID-19结果的地理差异很大.
- 推迟非大都市地区的暴发,为未来传染病爆发管理提供了洞察力.
相关概念视频
Pareto Chart
6.6K
A Pareto chart is a bar graph or a combination of both line and bar graphs. The bar lengths represent the individual values or the frequency, while the lines represent the cumulative total values. In this chart, the longest bars are arranged on the left and the shortest bars on the right, which makes it easier to read and interpret the data. It can also be called a Pareto diagram or Pareto analysis.
The Pareto chart is named after the Italian economist Vilfredo Pareto, who described the Pareto...
The Pareto chart is named after the Italian economist Vilfredo Pareto, who described the Pareto...
6.6K
Pie Chart
13.7K
A pie chart (or a pie graph) is a circular graphical chart or a pictorial representation of categorical data. It is divided into slices of pie each indicating numerical proportions. It is also used to show the relative sizes of data in a single chart.
In a pie chart, the central angle, the arc length of each slice, and the area are directly proportional to the quantity or percentage it represents. Some real-world examples that can be depicted using pie charts include marks obtained by students...
In a pie chart, the central angle, the arc length of each slice, and the area are directly proportional to the quantity or percentage it represents. Some real-world examples that can be depicted using pie charts include marks obtained by students...
13.7K
Statistical Methods for Analyzing Epidemiological Data
284
Epidemiological data primarily involves information on specific populations' occurrence, distribution, and determinants of health and diseases. This data is crucial for understanding disease patterns and impacts, aiding public health decision-making and disease prevention strategies. The analysis of epidemiological data employs various statistical methods to interpret health-related data effectively. Here are some commonly used methods:
284
Causality in Epidemiology
242
Causality or causation is a fundamental concept in epidemiology, vital for understanding the relationships between various factors and health outcomes. Despite its importance, there's no single, universally accepted definition of causality within the discipline. Drawing from a systematic review, causality in epidemiology encompasses several definitions, including production, necessary and sufficient, sufficient-component, counterfactual, and probabilistic models. Each has its strengths and...
242
Principles of Disease Surveillance
65
Disease surveillance is the systematic collection, analysis, and interpretation of health data essential to the planning, implementation, and evaluation of public health practice. This process integrates data dissemination to entities responsible for preventing and controlling disease, injury, and disability. Surveillance systems provide crucial information for action, helping public health authorities make informed decisions to manage and prevent outbreaks, ensure public safety, optimize...
65
Prevalence and Incidence
299
In statistical epidemiology and health sciences, two essential metrics—prevalence and incidence—are fundamental for understanding disease dynamics within a population. These measures enable public health officials, epidemiologists, and researchers to assess the burden of diseases, allocate resources effectively, and design impactful public health policies and interventions.
Prevalence indicates the proportion of individuals in a population who have a specific disease or health...
Prevalence indicates the proportion of individuals in a population who have a specific disease or health...
299


