减少洪都拉斯电力部门碳排放的途径
Ricardo Pineda-Guzman1, Paola Sofia Acevedo Alvarado1, Pedro A Sánchez-Pérez2
1Fariborz Maseeh Department of Civil, Architectural and Environmental Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, 301 Dean Keeton St. C1752, Austin, Texas 78712, United States.
Environmental science & technology
|February 24, 2025
概括
洪都拉斯可以通过将可再生能源容量增加到80%来实现负担得起的低排放电力. 该战略使国家能源计划与全球脱碳目标保持一致,避免增加温室气体排放.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 能源政策 能源政策
- 气候变化缓解缓解 气候变化缓解
背景情况:
- 全球温室气体排放主要是由新兴经济体的经济增长推动的.
- 发展中国家面临着双重挑战:减轻排放和提高气候适应力.
- 净零目标和国家电力规划之间存在重大政策差距.
研究的目的:
- 分析洪都拉斯低成本能源转型的替代途径.
- 在电力行业内确定经济上可行的减排战略.
- 将洪都拉斯的国家电力规划与全球脱碳目标保持一致.
主要方法:
- 能力扩展模型的开发.
- 对各种替代能源转型途径的分析.
- 对减排战略的经济可行性评估.
主要成果:
- 一个不受限制的,低成本的扩张场景可以达到80%的可再生能源容量.
- 与目前的国家计划相比,这种情况提供了更实惠的电力.
- 深度脱碳是可以实现的,最低成本溢价为9.60美元/兆瓦时,不包括碳定价或封存.
结论:
- 洪都拉斯有经济可行的途径来实现其电力部门的深度脱碳.
- 负担得起的可再生能源扩张可以满足国家脱碳承诺.
- 将部门规划与全球气候战略相协调对于洪都拉斯等脆弱国家至关重要.
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