时间趋势任务如何受到概率的影响 格式:做数字有意义的系统审查
Mohit M Sharma1, Jessica S Ancker2, Natalie C Benda3
1Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, NY, USA.
MDM policy & practice
|February 25, 2025
概括
在较长时间内绘制健康概率图表可以增强趋势之间的感知差异. 生存曲线可能有助于确定最佳选择,但对行为改变的证据有限.
科学领域:
- 卫生沟通健康沟通
- 风险感知 风险感知
- 数据可视化数据可视化
背景情况:
- 系统性审查以指导健康概率沟通格式.
- 专注于时间趋势任务,评估随时间推移的概率变化.
研究的目的:
- 审查关于数据呈现格式如何影响对健康概率趋势的理解的研究.
- 综合关于感知,情感,认知和行为结果的发现.
主要方法:
- 实验和准实验研究的系统审查.
- 独立的双重选和数据提取.
- 综合了来自6项独特研究的11项发现.
主要成果:
- 强有力的证据:在较长的时间段内绘制概率会增加曲线之间的感知差异.
- 证据薄弱:生存率与死亡率曲线没有显著改变感知差异或计算能力.
- 证据薄弱:生存曲线可能有助于确定生存率最高的选择;较长的时间段可能有助于区分小差异.
结论:
- 对于概率时间趋势任务的证据有限.
- 格式效应主要出现在框架 (生存率与死亡率) 和时间周期长度上.
- 关于格式对健康行为或意图的影响的证据不足.
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