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Updated: May 26, 2025

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社会技术系统的危急脆弱性
José Moran1,2,3, Frank P Pijpers4,5, Utz Weitzel6,7,8
1Macrocosm Inc, Brooklyn, NY 11218.
概括
优化效率的社会技术系统有危险的关键脆弱性. 将准时性推向极限使系统易于因轻微干扰而崩,影响经济波动.
科学领域:
- 系统科学 系统科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 运营研究 运营研究
背景情况:
- 社会技术系统为社会功能整合了人类和技术元素.
- 及时性 (在正确的时间和地点的可用性) 是一个关键的操作标准.
- 竞争压力往往导致效率的近视优化,冒着系统脆弱性的风险.
研究的目的:
- 突出社会技术系统中不被重视的及时性概念.
- 确定优化及时性导致系统脆弱性的关键点.
- 解释经济学中过度波动的难题,并告知系统管理.
主要方法:
- 为操作延误开发一种风格化的模型.
- 分析系统行为在操作性能的极限的及时性.
- 作为案例研究,对企业间生产网络的调查.
主要成果:
- 优化及时性到其操作极限会产生关键的脆弱性,类似于在"悬崖边缘"操作.
- 当系统处于这个关键点时,小的干扰会引发系统崩.
- 接近临界脆弱性是理解经济过度波动性的关键.
结论:
- 关键脆弱性是高度优化的社会技术系统固有的风险.
- 管理效率和稳定性之间的权衡对于系统稳定性至关重要.
- 了解关键脆弱性对于有弹性的社会技术系统设计和经济稳定至关重要.
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