使用机器学习进行前列腺癌和丸癌死亡率的比较分析预测:准确性研究研究
Aurélio Gomes de Albuquerque Neto1, David Medeiros Nery1, João Paulo Araújo Braz2
1Escola Multicampi de Ciências Médicas do Rio Grande do Norte, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), Caicó (RN), Brazil.
Sao Paulo medical journal = Revista paulista de medicina
|February 26, 2025
概括
机器学习图书馆准确地预测了巴西前列腺癌死亡率的上升. 这些工具有助于健康规划,但丸癌症的趋势并不显著. 解决数据缺口对于男性健康至关重要.
科学领域:
- 在瘤学瘤学.
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 前列腺癌和丸癌在巴西东北部地区的死亡率较高.
- 有效的公共卫生战略需要准确的死亡率预测.
研究的目的:
- 为了比较机器学习图书馆对前列腺癌和丸癌死亡率的预测效果.
- 开发和验证癌症死亡率趋势的预测模型.
主要方法:
- 对pyMannKendall和Prophet机器学习算法的比较分析.
- 使用的DATASUS数据 (TabNet) 为巴西 (卡伊科和里约格兰德多诺尔特) 从2000年至2019年.
- 使用平均平方误差 (MSE) 和根平均平方误差 (RMSE) 评估预测准确度.
主要成果:
- 先知算法准确地预测到2030年,Caicó和Rio Grande do Norte的前列腺癌死亡率将增加.
- pyMannKendall分析证实,在两个地点,前列腺癌死亡率趋势上升的概率为99%.
- 两种算法都没有发现丸癌的显著死亡趋势.
结论:
- 机器学习库是预测癌症死亡率的可靠工具.
- 这些预测支持战略健康规划和预防措施,以促进男性健康.
- 解决像DATASUS这样的健康数据系统中的性别差异至关重要.
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