COVID-19对伊朗完成自杀率的影响:一个中断时间序列研究 (ITS)
Azadeh Nouhi Siahroudi1, Seyed Saeed Hashemi Nazari1, Mahshid Namdari1
1Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Frontiers in public health
|February 28, 2025
概括
在伊朗,COVID-19大流行大大增加了自杀死亡人数,在疫情爆发三个月后出现了显著的增长. 这项研究强调了大流行.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 心理健康研究 心理健康研究
背景情况:
- 自杀是全球主要的公共卫生问题,全球和伊朗的死亡率很高.
- 随着COVID-19的流行,可能会破坏社会互动,影响自杀风险因素.
- 了解大流行对自杀趋势的影响对于公共卫生干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查COVID-19流行病对伊朗自杀死亡率趋势的影响.
- 分析大流行前和期间自杀率的变化.
主要方法:
- 使用中断时间序列 (ITS) 分析与负二项式回归相结合.
- 数据包括2009年至2023年在伊朗发生的63514起与自杀有关的死亡事件.
- 调整了季节性变化,并使用Stata和R软件进行了分析.
主要成果:
- 自杀发生率在大流行之前每月增加1.003人.
- 疫情爆发后,自杀率与疫情前水平相比增加了1.1%.
- 疫情爆发三个月后,自杀死亡人数的增加趋势被观察到.
结论:
- 伊朗的自杀死亡率在COVID-19大流行之前呈现出日益增长的趋势.
- 疫情似乎产生了重大影响,导致自杀死亡人数上升.
- 需要进一步的研究才能充分理解大流行病与自杀发生之间的复杂关系.
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