基于重量组合二维云模型的矿区道建设风险评估研究
Haibin Liang1, Xiong-Gang Xie2, Xuexi Chen3
1College of Mining, Guizhou University, Guiyang, 550025, China.
Scientific reports
|February 28, 2025
概括
这项研究引入了一个新的框架,用于评估开采区的道建设风险. 该方法确定了中等风险,强调了环境,地质和建筑安全作为关键问题.
科学领域:
- 土木工程 土木工程是指土木工程.
- 风险管理 风险管理
- 地质技术工程 地质技术工程
背景情况:
- 穿过开采地区的道建设带来了重大的安全挑战.
- 现有的风险评估方法可能无法充分捕捉这些环境的复杂性.
- 为了有效的安全评估和控制,需要一个强大的框架.
研究的目的:
- 提出一个新的风险评估框架,用于跨越开采区的道建设.
- 整合主观和客观权重方法,用于全面的指标评估.
- 开发一个风险评估模型,使用一个二维的云模型来评估频率和后果.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个基于压力状态反应 (PSR) 模型的风险评估框架.
- 在主观指标权重方面采用G1方法,在客观权重方面采用随机森林 (RF) 的改进CRITIC方法.
- 使用游戏理论组合分配用于组合权重和二维云模型用于风险合并.
主要成果:
- 将框架应用于华兴山道建设项目.
- 计算了风险云固有值,并生成了风险云图表用于分析.
- 确定了整体风险水平为中等,环境,地质,建筑安全和结构稳定作为主要风险来源.
结论:
- 拟议的框架提供了一种新的,有效的方法,用于在经过开采地区的道建设中进行安全评估.
- 该方法允许进行全面的风险评估和控制,提高项目安全性.
- 该研究为管理在具有挑战性的道环境中的风险提供了宝贵的见解.
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