机器学习预测美国印第安人和阿拉斯加原住民的痴呆症:一个回顾性队列研究
Kayleen Ports1, Jiahui Dai1, Kyle Conniff2
1Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Joe C. Wen School of Population & Public Health, Susan and Henry Samueli College of Health Sciences, University of California, Irvine, 856 Health Sciences Quad, Irvine, CA 92697-7550, USA.
Lancet regional health. Americas
|March 4, 2025
概括
机器学习模型可以使用电子健康记录预测美国印第安人和阿拉斯加土著成年人的痴呆风险. 这些工具可以帮助识别需要早期干预的个体,以获得更好的健康结果.
科学领域:
- 老年学是一门学科.
- 医疗信息学 医疗信息学
- 机器学习 机器学习
背景情况:
- 痴呆症在美国印第安人和阿拉斯加原住民 (AI/AN) 社区中构成越来越大的挑战.
- 现有的机器学习模型用于痴呆风险预测尚未为AI/AN人群开发或验证.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证AI/AN个人的两年痴呆风险预测模型.
- 利用来自印度卫生服务 (IHS) 和部落卫生服务的电子健康记录 (EHR) 数据.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自IHS的七年电子健康记录数据 (2007-2013财年).
- 评估了四种机器学习算法:逻辑回归,LASSO,随机森林和XGBoost.
- 使用接收器操作特征曲线 (AUC) 下面的面积来评估模型性能.
主要成果:
- 该研究包括17,398名65岁以上的AI/AN成年人,其中3.5%在两年内被诊断患有痴呆症.
- 使用后勤回归,LASSO和XGBoost的扩展模型表现出可比性能,AUC约为0.82-0.83.
- 顶级模型确定了15个关键预测因素,包括新的因素,如服务利用率.
结论:
- 机器学习模型有效地使用EHR数据预测AI/AN老年人的两年痴呆风险.
- 这些预测模型可以帮助IHS和部落卫生临床医生在风险人群的早期识别和干预.
- 这些发现支持AI/AN社区内改善护理协调和及时管理痴呆症.
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