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在温暖的浅湖中基于模型的巨植物管理
Rainer Ferdinand Wunderlich1, Aurélien Jamoneau2, Sébastien Boutry2
1UR EABX, INRAE, 50 Avenue de Verdun, 33612, Cestas-Gazinet, France.
Journal of environmental management
|March 4, 2025
概括
淡水巨生物面临着气候变化和人类活动带来的威胁. 需要管理策略来保护本地物种和控制入侵物种,特别是在变暖的温度下.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 淡水生态系统 淡水生态系统
- 保护生物学 保护生物学
背景情况:
- 巨植物对淡水生物多样性和生态系统服务至关重要.
- 这些息地受到气候变化,人类干扰和入侵物种的威胁.
- 有效的本地管理策略对于淡水巨型植物的保护至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 在当前和未来的变暖场景下预测巨生物的分布和多样性.
- 为了确定法国西南部湖泊的保护管理热点.
- 为淡水巨型植物群落提供适应性管理策略的信息.
主要方法:
- 使用联合物种分布建模 (JSDM) 与存在-缺席数据和环境变量.
- 环境变量包括温度 (电流和+2°C),土地使用和地形.
- 百分点值空间优先级确定了保护热点.
主要成果:
- 巨生物息地适合性受到土地使用和人类可访问性的重大影响.
- 温度升温通常会降低巨生物息地适宜性和本地物种多样性.
- 本地异种类物种比入侵物种更容易受到变暖的影响,这表明潜在的社区转移.
结论:
- 确定了保护管理热点,需要立即适应管理.
- 策略应包括对入侵物种的控制和本地物种的恢复,特别是在异种虫类.
- 积极的管理对于维持淡水湖中的生态系统服务至关重要.
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