煤炭供应链的风险评估基于分析层次流程和模糊的综合评估
Cheng Yang1, Xiaoliang Zheng2, Changchun Dai1
1State Grid Anhui Electric Power Co., Ltd, Hefei, 230000, PR China.
Heliyon
|March 5, 2025
概括
这项研究开发了一种使用分析层次过程 (AHP) 和模糊综合评估 (FCE) 的煤炭供应链风险评估模型. 在X省的煤炭供应链被评为"中等"风险,表明需要采取降低风险的措施.
科学领域:
- 供应链管理 供应链管理
- 风险评估 风险评估
- 能源经济学 能源经济学
背景情况:
- 确保稳定的煤炭供应和提高安全性是关键的实际要求.
- 供应链风险源于各种驱动因素,需要进行系统分析.
研究的目的:
- 确定风险评估指标,并建立煤炭供应链的综合风险评估系统.
- 开发和应用一个可靠的模型来评估煤炭供应链风险.
主要方法:
- 分析煤炭供应链风险的来源和驱动因素.
- 分析层次流程 (AHP) 的应用,用于对风险进行层次结构化.
- 使用模糊综合评估 (FCE) 进行定量风险评估.
主要成果:
- 建立了一个结合AHP和FCE的风险评估模型.
- 在X省的煤炭供应链被评估为"中等"的风险水平.
- 整体供应链风险被认为相对安全,但建议采取改善措施.
结论:
- 综合AHP和FCE方法是有效的,适用于煤炭供应链风险评估.
- 持续改进措施是必要的,以减轻发现的风险.
- 该方法为确保煤炭供应稳定和安全提供了有价值的工具.
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