家庭禁令对不确定性和情绪的影响:准实验性研究
Carolina Biliotti1, Nicolò Fraccaroli2, Michelangelo Puliga3
1AXES, IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca, Lucca, Italy.
Journal of medical Internet research
|March 7, 2025
概括
COVID-19封锁增加了健康和政策不确定性,以及负面的政治情绪,但没有显著影响经济情绪. 这些发现强调了封锁的广泛外部性,超出了立即的健康问题.
科学领域:
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 计算社会科学 计算社会科学
背景情况:
- 将公众对COVID-19封锁的反应与病毒本身区分开来是一项挑战.
- 封锁可能会对公众对政治,经济和医疗保健的情绪产生负面影响.
研究的目的:
- 分析COVID-19封锁政策对公众情绪和不确定性的因果关系.
- 利用2020年2月的意大利封锁作为准实验来隔离政策影响.
主要方法:
- 使用自然语言模型和差异差异方法分析了24,261个Twitter数据.
- 微调AlBERTo模型以分析推特中的情绪,并按维度分类 (经济,健康,政治,封锁政策).
主要成果:
- 封锁大大增加了关于健康和政策的不确定性,以及负面的政治情绪.
- 没有观察到对经济不确定性或负面经济情绪产生重大影响.
结论:
- 封锁除了对健康造成广泛的外部影响,增加了健康问题和负面的政治情绪.
- 这可能会阻碍公众对政府措施的支持,并阻止未来的政策实施.
- 当局应该利用这些见解来改进未来的政策和沟通策略,以减少不确定性和社会恐慌.
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