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洪水足迹评估:评估外部援助对灾后恢复的影响
Zhao Zeng1, Nan Wang1, Zengkai Zhang2
1College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China.
概括
外部援助 (EA) 显著减少自然灾害后的间接经济损失. 政策制定者可以优化EA分配,以最大限度地减少经济影响并加快恢复速度.
科学领域:
- 灾害风险管理 灾害风险管理
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 社会经济性 社会经济性
背景情况:
- 自然灾害对人类生活和社会经济发展构成越来越大的威胁.
- 外部援助 (EA) 对于灾后重建至关重要,但其经济影响尚未得到充分量化.
- 现有的评估方法缺乏衡量EA对经济复苏的影响的能力.
研究的目的:
- 量化外部援助 (EA) 对灾后恢复的经济影响.
- 开发一个改进的洪水足迹模型,包括EA.
- 为评估EA在减轻经济损失方面的有效性提供一种方法.
主要方法:
- 采用洪水足迹作为经济影响的指标.
- 改善洪水足迹模型,以包括外部援助 (EA).
- 使用2013年超级台风海灾难在中国海南省的模型的应用和验证.
主要成果:
- 外援 (EA) 占直接经济损失的2.4%.
- 在海南的案例研究中,EA导致间接经济损失减少了7.31%.
- 场景分析表明,EA分发计划显著影响其影响.
结论:
- 外部援助 (EA) 对灾难后的短期经济风险降低产生积极影响.
- 能源能源的有效性取决于它的分配和分配策略.
- 政策制定者可以通过优化EA计划以最大限度地减少间接损失来加强灾后经济复苏.
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