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为现实世界做出结构化决策:对治理结构如何在地方流域规划中形成可疑的SDM进行定性分析

David J Trimbach¹, Kelly Biedenweg²

¹Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife, Olympia, WA, USA. David.Trimbach@dfw.wa.gov.

Environmental management

|March 11, 2025

概括

结构化决策 (SDM) 可以通过结合多种价值观和理解权衡来改善公共决策. 治理结构使得SDM的有效实施成为可能,即使没有完整的数据.

科学领域:

环境管理环境管理
公共政策公共政策
决策科学决策科学决策科学

背景情况:

结构化决策 (SDM) 涉及澄清背景,定义目标,开发替代方案,预测后果,评估权衡,并监测结果.
将多样化的价值观纳入目标选择和促进共同理解是公共决策的关键.
严格的SDM流程往往超过公共机构的能力;然而,治理结构可以促进部分SDM采用.

研究的目的:

分析治理因素,使得SDM可以作为流域群体中的决策支持工具.
了解不同的治理结构如何影响SDM阶段在公共决策中的应用.
探索在流域管理中将人类福祉目标与自然资源健康目标相结合.

主要方法:

一个为期四年的参与式研究项目,涉及四个不同的流域群体.
分析影响SDM步骤采用和应用的治理因素.
对客观定义和决策过程如何影响SDM参与的定性评估.

主要成果:

目标的定义和规划成果,以及决策过程,显著影响了SDM步骤的完成程度.
参与SDM流程的每一步都明显改善了决策结果.
成功的决策不需要完成每一个SDM步骤.

结论:

治理结构在使SDM在公共机构中的适应性使用成为可能方面发挥着至关重要的作用.
部分参与SDM步骤可以在决策质量方面取得实质性改善.
未来的研究应该专注于优化治理,以便在环境管理中有效,代的SDM应用.

关键词:

决策支持工具决策支持工具环境规划环境规划治理治理治理治理治理人类的福祉人类的福祉结构化的决策方式

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