在高移民背景下留下的老年人亲属关系结构:波多黎各的证据
Amílcar Matos-Moreno1,2, Diego Alburez-Gutierrez3, Iván Williams3,4
1Center for Healthy Aging, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, USA.
概括
波多黎各的老年人由于移民而减少了当地家庭成员,跨国亲属人数显著增加. 未来的公共卫生战略必须满足这些跨国家庭的需求.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 老年学是一门学科.
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 移民显著影响着人口老龄化,特别是在高移民地区.
- 留在这些地区的老年人面临着诸如支持网络减少和护理需求增加等挑战.
- 之前的研究还没有充分量化移民对老年人的亲属关系结构的影响.
研究的目的:
- 为了估计居住在波多黎各的老年人的亲属关系结构.
- 确定波多黎各老年人中移民亲属的流行率.
- 分析跨国移民对老年人口家庭关系的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用联合国世界人口前景 (1950-2021) 的数据.
- 开发了一个双性别,多状态,时间变异的亲属关系模型.
- 模拟了波多黎各老年人的预期家庭关系和跨国亲属的存在.
主要成果:
- 2021年,波多黎各65岁以上的个人预计平均有5.6名亲密的生物家庭成员 (2.8名成年儿童,2.7名兄弟姐妹),较2000年的6.7人减少.
- 在2021年的条件下,69%的女性亲属和71%的女儿预计将居住在美国.
- 预计跨国生活亲属的数量从2000年增加到2021年.
结论:
- 波多黎各未来的老年人群很可能会体验到更高比例的跨国家庭成员.
- 公共卫生倡议需要适应,以支持老龄化人口中跨国家庭的独特需求.
- 该研究强调了由于持续的移民模式,家庭结构的不断变化的性质.
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