瑞士的历史性流行病和COVID-19的生育动态,1871年至2022年
Katarina L Matthes1, Mathilde Le Vu1, Kaspar Staub1
1University of Zurich.
Population studies
|March 11, 2025
概括
历史上,流行病降低了生育率,但COVID-19却降低了生育率.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 流行病可能会影响人口的健康和行为.
- 生育率是社会变化的敏感指标.
- 历史上的流行病已经显示出对出生率的影响.
研究的目的:
- 分析到2022年的瑞士一般生育率 (GFR) 动态.
- 调查过去的流感大流行和最近的COVID-19大流行对生育能力的影响.
- 了解流行病和生育趋势之间的复杂关系.
主要方法:
- 长度分析到2022年的瑞士一般生育率 (GFR) 数据.
- 在历史性流感大流行期间和之后 (1889-90,1918-20和1957年) 的生育趋势的比较.
- 检查瑞士的GFR变化与COVID-19大流行浪潮和公共卫生措施相关的情况.
主要成果:
- 历史上的流感大流行之后,出生率下降 (高峰后6-9个月),随后出现了短期的婴儿潮.
- 瑞士GFR在COVID-19之前 (2018年以来) 已经下降.
- COVID-19大流行显示出复杂的影响:2020年初始受孕率增加 (2021年高GFR),随后在2022年下降,可能是由于推迟怀孕.
- 潜在的因素包括流产率,关闭措施和疫苗接种时间.
结论:
- 流行病对生育率产生了多种多样的和复杂的影响.
- 在瑞士COVID-19期间的生育动态受到了先前存在的趋势和流行病特定因素的影响.
- 需要进一步的研究来阐明与流行病相关的生育率变化背后的机制.
关键词:
1889年到90年的流行病大流行.1918年20年流感流感是1918年20年的流感.1957年流感流感是1957年的流感.这就是Covid-19的原因.瑞士 瑞士 瑞士 瑞士 瑞士 瑞士 瑞士生育能力 生育能力 生育能力 生育能力历史上的流行病 历史上的流行病人口水平 人口水平.更多相关视频
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