对季节性流感和COVID-19爆发的流行病学和时空模式的比较分析
Jingjing Yang1,2, Qingquan Chen1,2, Xiaoyan Zheng1,2
1The Affiliated Fuzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350005, China.
Scientific reports
|March 13, 2025
概括
在COVID-19大流行期间,福州的流感发病率较高,病例集中在城市中心地区. 空间分析揭示了特定地区的不断变化的模式和显著的时空聚合.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 空间分析 空间分析
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 流感是一个重大的公共卫生挑战,其流行病学和空间分布受到各种因素的影响,包括流行病.
- 了解流感的时空动态对于有效的控制策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查2013年至2022年福州流感的流行病学,空间趋势,空间结构演变和空间时间聚合.
- 为了比较季节性爆发期间流感发病率与COVID-19大流行病.
主要方法:
- 用描述性流行病学方法分析病例数据.
- 趋势表面分析,内核密度估计和时空扫描统计数据用于空间和时间分析.
- 检查了县级流感发病率.
主要成果:
- 报告共有19135例流感病例,0-19岁年龄组受影响最多 (71.07%).
- 流感病例显示出"高中"的空间趋势,集中在福州市中心,并向中心城市集群发展.
- 与季节性疫情相比,在COVID-19大流行期间观察到较高的平均年流感发病率,在Gulou和济南地区发现了显著的时空集群.
结论:
- 福州的流感流行病学表现出明显的空间和时间模式,受到COVID-19大流行影响.
- 该研究强调了考虑大流行对流感动态的影响的重要性,以及需要在高风险地区进行有针对性的干预.
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