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预测阿尔卑斯新在英国的入侵性
Alexandra C North1,2, Luke J Sutton1, Jason L Brown3
1University of Plymouth, Plymouth, UK.
概括
预测阿尔卑斯山 (Ichthyosaura alpestris) 在英国的入侵风险需要了解其进化血统. 这项研究模拟了适合性,发现英格兰中部和东部以及苏格兰部分地区非常适合.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 进化生物学 进化生物学
- 保护生物学 保护生物学
背景情况:
- 预测新型环境的入侵风险对于保护至关重要.
- 对于这样的预测,适当的进化血统往往不清楚.
- 阿尔卑斯山新 (Ichthyosaura alpestris) 具有复杂的历史,并且正在蔓延,带来潜在的生态影响.
研究的目的:
- 预测英国目前对高山新的环境适应性.
- 在物种和血统层面评估适合性.
- 量化进化血统的利基重叠,用于入侵风险评估.
主要方法:
- 种类分布建模 种类分布建模
- 生态利基模型的建模.
- 模型可转移性评估模型
- 血统级别的利基重叠量化量化.
主要成果:
- 预计英格兰中部/东部和苏格兰部分地区的高山新具有很高的环境适应性.
- 在不同的高山新血统中,特别是希腊血统中,有明显的环境的证据.
- 英国的记录与中央血统的利基相一致,对一些外推的血统的信心很低.
- 66%的已知高山新记录在物种层面上属于预测适合的区域.
结论:
- 英国高山新的环境适应性因血统而异.
- 该研究提供了可测试的假设,以了解这种物种的入侵生态.
- 对于准确的入侵风险评估来说,特定于血统的利基模型非常重要.
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