基于数据驱动的三重底线视角的北极合作治理的战略环境分析.
Xiaoxue Ma1,2, Jianqi Zhang2, Wanyi Deng2
1Public Administration and Humanities College, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian, 116026, China.
Ambio
|March 14, 2025
概括
尽管经济,环境和社会因素之间的联系较弱,但北极地区的协作治理显示出潜力. 地缘政治可能会阻碍复杂的北极问题的整合性发展.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
背景情况:
- 复杂的北极问题需要国际合作,超出单一国家的能力.
- 战略环境分析对于有效的协作治理至关重要.
- 在评估北极治理时,三重底线视角 (经济,环境,社会) 是至关重要的.
研究的目的:
- 量化分析北极合作治理的战略环境.
- 用经济,环境和社会指标来评估业绩.
- 确定北极地区整合性发展的潜力和局限性.
主要方法:
- 对19个评估指标 (2012-2021) 的数据驱动分析.
- 参与的北极理事会成员和附属机构 (21个国家).
- 采用基于欧几里德距离和灰色相关性的TOPSIS模型进行绩效评估.
主要成果:
- 观察到经济,环境和社会方面之间存在较弱的相关性.
- 在各个方面表现的高相关系数表明了协作潜力.
- 地缘政治因素被认为是北极合作治理的潜在限制.
结论:
- 需要整合性发展来加强北极的协作治理.
- 对于北极的协作治理存在重大潜力,这取决于克服地缘政治挑战.
- 数据驱动的洞察力是理解和改进北极治理战略的关键.
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