相关实验视频
Updated: Jun 16, 2025

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Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
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对长江经济区的水资源负债的会计和系统动态模拟,中国
Dandan Zhang1, Bo Liu1, Pengfei Liu2
1Ginling College, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210097, China.
Evaluation and program planning
|March 15, 2025
概括
水资源责任 (WRL) 被定义为不合理使用水的补偿. 资源和环境友好的方法将WRL降至2030年的零,而不是经济发展显著增加它.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
- 系统动力学系统动力学
背景情况:
- 可持续的水资源管理至关重要.
- 不合理的用水导致资源和环境损害.
- 水资源责任 (WRL) 量化了这种损害.
研究的目的:
- 定义和建模水资源责任 (WRL).
- 在不同的发展场景下,模拟和分析长江经济区 (YREZ) 的WRL.
- 为可持续水资源管理政策提供理论基础.
主要方法:
- 水资源责任 (WRL) 的定义.
- 使用系统动力学 (SD) 方法构建模拟模型.
- 分析了从2021年到2030年的WRL预测,跨越三个发展模式.
主要成果:
- 现状模式:WRL控制,到2030年减少到1120亿立方米,但区域增加.
- 经济发展模式:由于水消耗和污染的增加,到2030年WRL将接近500亿立方米.
- 资源和环保模式:WRL从2021年的10亿立方米减少到2030年的10亿立方米.
结论:
- 资源和环保模式有效地缓解了水资源短缺和污染.
- 通过可持续的水资源利用,可以最大限度地减少对环境的影响.
- 关于协调社会经济和水资源开发的政策建议.
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