评估尼日利亚童婚的时空模式和决定因素
Rofiyat Temitope Oyebisi1, Oluwafunmilayo Adenike Dawodu2,3, Ezra Gayawan1
1Federal University of Technology, Akure, Ondo State, Nigeria.
Journal of biosocial science
|March 17, 2025
概括
尼日利亚的童婚正在下降,但仍然存在,特别是在北部地区. 教育和财富等因素降低了它的可能性,需要有针对性的本地解决方案.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 早期婚姻对尼日利亚女孩的教育和潜力产生了负面影响.
- 政府的战略已经实施,以减轻童婚,特别是在尼日利亚北部.
研究的目的:
- 分析2003年至2018年尼日利亚童婚的时空模式.
- 确定影响不同地区和不同时期童婚普遍性的因素.
主要方法:
- 利用了尼日利亚人口和健康调查 (2003-2018) 的数据.
- 采用贝叶斯的时空随机效应模型与集成嵌套拉普拉斯近似进行分析.
主要成果:
- 在过去的15年里,童婚的发生率在全国范围内有所下降.
- 尽管采取了干预措施,但北方州 (Kogi,尼日尔,FCT阿布贾,塔拉巴,卡杜纳) 的患病率仍然最高.
- 在西南地区观察到轻微变化.
- 高等教育,城市居住,家庭财富,约鲁巴族裔和基督教宗教信仰与较低的童婚率有关.
结论:
- 虽然童婚正在下降,但区域差异仍然存在,尼日利亚北部的患病率最高.
- 社会经济和人口因素显著影响童婚风险.
- 具体的国家战略对于制定有效的当地解决方案来消除童婚至关重要.
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