揭示印度比哈尔州降雨模式的动态:全面的时空空间分析
Amit Kumar1, Mohanasundari Thangavel2
1School of Humanities and Social Science, Indian Institute of Technology Indore, Simrol, Indore, Madhya Pradesh, 453552, India.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|March 18, 2025
概括
气候变化正在改变印度比哈尔邦的降雨模式. 虽然季风前降雨量正在增加,但季风和年度降雨量呈现下降趋势,需要适应性水资源管理.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候学 气候学 气候学
- 水文学的水文学
背景情况:
- 由人类活动驱动的气候变化对全球水气候变量产生重大影响.
- 印度的自然资源和农业特别容易受到这些气候变化的影响.
- 了解区域降水变化对于有效的适应战略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析印度比哈尔州降雨模式的长期空间和时间变化.
- 为了确定各种降雨季节的趋势和重大变化点.
- 为该地区的水资源管理和气候适应提供见解.
主要方法:
- 利用来自印度气象局 (133个网点) 的高分辨率每日降雨格式数据.
- 采用系数变化分析来评估不同季节的降雨变化.
- 应用修改的曼-肯德尔 (MMK) 和创新趋势分析 (ITA) 用于趋势检测和变化点分析.
主要成果:
- 季风前降雨显示出统计学上显著的增加趋势 (0.748毫米/年).
- 季风,季风后,冬季和年度降雨模式在72年中持续下降.
- 在1982年 (年度),2007年 (季风),2012年 (季风前),1954年 (季风后) 和1997年 (冬季) 确定了重要的变化点.
- 时空分析显示了1982年以后的区域变化,最大年降雨量下降.
结论:
- 比哈尔的降雨模式正在发生重大变化,季节性趋势明显.
- 该研究强调需要重新评估水资源管理战略.
- 这些发现支持可持续农业和生态系统的强有力的气候适应,资源规划和防灾准备.
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