在体育表现评估中考虑相对年龄的影响:使用混合模型开发年龄调整的表现走廊
Nolwenn Pinczon Du Sel1,2, Marie-Pierre Etienne1, Cédric Leduc3
1Department of Statistics and Computer Science, Institut Agro, CNRS, IRMAR, Rennes, France.
这项研究引入了一种新的统计方法来分析年轻运动员的相对年龄效应 (RAE). 该方法提供了个性化的绩效跟踪和对与年龄相关的身体发展的见解.
科学领域:
- 运动科学 运动科学 运动科学
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
- 青年运动员发展 青年运动员发展
背景情况:
- 相对年龄效应 (RAE) 影响年轻运动员的体力表现.
- 准确评估RAE对于体育领域的人才识别和发展至关重要.
- 现有的方法可能无法完全捕捉年龄和表现之间的非线性关系.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证一种新的统计方法,用于计算青年运动员体育表现中的RAE.
- 为精英年轻运动员建立个性化的表现进步曲线和走廊.
- 解决与年龄相关的绩效进展的非线性问题.
主要方法:
- 分析了1715名法国青少年橄球运动员的50米冲刺时间.
- 应用线性混合模型与日志转换来处理非线性.
- 使用信心区间开发性能走廊和个性化的进展曲线.
主要成果:
- 新的统计方法有效地将RAE计算在物理性能中.
- 建立了绩效走廊,整合了时间和相对年龄.
- 个性化的进展曲线使得随着时间的推移可以准确跟踪个体运动员的发展.
结论:
- 先进的统计方法为绩效评估和RAE提供了有价值的见解.
- 开发的方法为监测运动员进步提供了一个个性化的框架.
- 这种方法提高了精英青年体育运动中与年龄相关的身体发展的理解.
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