推进洪水风险评估:使用转移学习和混合模糊-AHP-机器学习进行基于多时间SAR的洪水库存生成,用于在马哈南达河流域的洪水易感性测绘
Chiranjit Singha1, Satiprasad Sahoo2, Alireza Bahrami Mahtaj3
1Department of Agricultural Engineering, Institute of Agriculture, Visva-Bharati (A Central University), Sriniketan, Birbhum, 731236, India.
Journal of environmental management
|March 22, 2025
概括
这项研究利用遥感和机器学习绘制了马哈南达河流域洪水易感性的地图,确定了土地使用和土壤类型等关键因素. 调查结果有助于为该地区制定更好的洪水风险管理战略.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 地理空间分析的研究.
- 水文学的水文学
背景情况:
- 马哈南达河流域面临越来越多的洪水风险,影响社会经济和环境稳定.
- 现有的洪水数据和绘图方法需要更新,以实现有效的风险管理.
研究的目的:
- 为马哈南达河流域开发一种新的洪水易感性 (FS) 地图绘制方法.
- 创建一个更新的洪水库存使用多时的卫星Sentinel-1SAR图像和现有的数据集.
- 在不同的气候变化情景下预测未来的洪水趋势.
主要方法:
- 使用U-Net模型对水体频率绘制处理的Sentinel-1 SAR图像.
- 集成的地理空间层 (高度,斜率,LULC,NDVI等) 作为洪水条件因素 (FCFs).
- 开发了混合FS模型,将Fuzzy分析层次过程 (FuzzyAHP) 与六个机器学习算法 (例如XGBoost,随机森林) 结合起来.
主要成果:
- 确定了土地使用土地覆盖 (LULC),NDVI和土壤类型作为最有影响力的FCF (超过60%的贡献).
- 发现该盆地的31.10%高度易受洪水影响,主要是在西部地区.
- 预计持续高脆弱性 (30.69%),在SSP5-8.5情景下略有增加.
- 的AHP-XGB模型实现了最高的精度 (AUC=0.970).
结论:
- 拟议的混合方法为洪水风险评估提供了一个强大的框架,使用自由可用的遥感数据进行评估.
- 空间分布的洪水库存和易感性地图对于有效的洪水风险管理至关重要.
- 调查结果为增强马哈南达河流域洪水减缓策略提供了关键的见解.
关键词:
气候变化场景 (SSP2-4.5 的情况).洪水清单库存 洪水清单库存洪水易感性 (FS) 绘制地图在 FuzzyAHP 里面,机器学习 (ML) 是指机器学习.马哈南达河流域的河流盆地在SHAP分析中,我们分析了SHAP.在SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP5-8.5中,SSP-转移学习转移学习相关概念视频
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