中国吸烟的经济成本:倾向性得分匹配和基于DALY的分析 (2014-2020年)
Rong Zheng1,2, Lingyun Meng1,2, Aduqinfu He1,2
1School of International Trade and Economics, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing, China.
Tobacco control
|March 22, 2025
概括
吸烟的成本远远高于烟草行业的收入,这凸显了对更强有力的烟草控制政策的需要. 经济负担的增加凸显了目前烟草收入依赖的不可持续性.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 卫生经济学 卫生经济学
- 控制烟草的控制方式
背景情况:
- 在中国,吸烟给健康和经济带来了巨大的,被低估的负担.
- 之前关于吸烟对经济影响的数据已经过时,需要进行当前评估.
研究的目的:
- 在2014年至2020年期间,全面评估中国吸烟的直接和间接经济成本.
- 将这些成本与烟草行业的财政利益进行比较.
主要方法:
- 社会视角使用减法和倾向性得分匹配直接成本 (医疗保健支出).
- 通过根据残疾调整的寿命年数和人力资本方法量化间接成本 (生产力损失).
主要成果:
- 总经济成本从2014年的1.40万亿元人民币上升到2020年的2.43万亿元人民币 (平均水平). 每年占GDP的2.29%).
- 烟草行业的财政收益 (2020年为1.520万亿元人民币) 显著低于经济成本.
- 经济成本大约是财政收益的1.6倍,挑战了行业的经济优势叙述.
结论:
- 对中国来说,依赖烟草行业收入是不可持续的.
- 紧急实施全面的烟草控制政策,包括增加烟草税和减少吸烟率至关重要.
- 政策变化对于长期的公共卫生和经济可持续性至关重要.
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