时间空间进化和影响因素的蓝色碳弹性在东爪,印度尼西亚
Purwanto Purwanto1, Achmad Siddik Thoha2, Pipit Wijayanti3
1Department of Geography, Faculty of Social Sciences, Universitas Negeri Malang, No. 5 Semarang Road, Sumbersari, Lowokwaru, Malang City, East Java 65145, Indonesia.
The Science of the total environment
|March 23, 2025
概括
蓝碳生态系统,如红树林,对于减缓气候变化至关重要. 这项研究揭示了红树林的恢复力正在下降,强调需要进行保护工作,以保持碳捕获和生态系统健康.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候变化研究 气候变化研究
- 生态系统管理 生态系统管理
背景情况:
- 全球气候变化带来了重大的环境挑战.
- 蓝碳生态系统为缓解气候变化提供了一个可行的战略.
- 红树林生态系统在碳捕获中发挥着至关重要的作用.
研究的目的:
- 分析东爪红树林 (2000-2020) 中蓝色碳的时空动态.
- 为了调查碳排放,封存,平衡比率和弹性指数.
- 确定影响红树林蓝色碳弹性的控制变量.
主要方法:
- 蓝色碳演变的系统和全面的描述.
- 对碳排放和碳捕集模式的分析.
- 应用空间德宾模型 (SDM) 进行空间计量分析.
主要成果:
- 尽管人为活动增加,但红树林森林的扩张保持稳定.
- 随着时间的推移,红树林的碳排放和封存都在增加.
- 观察到一个一般的碳余,在大型的低排放红树林地区出现赤字.
- 蓝色碳弹性指数呈现下降趋势,对生态系统稳定构成威胁.
结论:
- 东爪的红树林生态系统表现出越来越少的弹性,危及它们的长期生存.
- 空间计量经济学模型有效阐明控制变量对蓝色碳弹性的直接和间接影响.
- 迫切需要保护和管理战略,以加强红树林的性和蓝色碳功能.
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