在双重网络中,信息和流行病之间的合作传播以人类预防为导向
Congying Liu1, Xiaoqun Wu2, Xiaoyang Liu3
1School of Mathematics and Statistics, Jiangsu Normal University, Jiangsu 221116, China.
Chaos (Woodbury, N.Y.)
|March 24, 2025
概括
人类行为显著影响疾病的传播和信息的传播. 这项研究揭示了个体采取预防措施的保护值,这对于控制流行病至关重要.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 网络科学 网络科学
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
背景情况:
- 人类行为是信息传播和流行病传播的核心.
- 信息,流行病和行为之间的相互作用是复杂的,双向的.
- 了解协调决策是有效公共卫生干预的关键.
研究的目的:
- 研究个人保护行为如何影响信息传播和流行病传播之间的相互作用.
- 模拟疾病传播的动态,考虑基于游戏理论的行为变化.
- 确定保护性行为出现的关键值.
主要方法:
- 修改了无意识-有意识-无意识易受感染-未感染 (UAU-SIS) 模型.
- 整合一个两种策略的游戏理论困境来表示个人的决定.
- 理论分析和广泛的模拟来探索行为出现和流行病动态.
主要成果:
- 在流行病发作时,没有预防措施;流行病值取决于流行病层拓.
- 存在一个关键的保护值,触发了意识的个体的保护行为.
- 高的康复率,疾病成本,低的预防失败率和低的遗忘率提高了自我保护和制流行病.
- 流行病层拓对信息扩散和流行病传播都产生重大影响,即使有信息层行为演变.
结论:
- 由疾病严重程度和预防有效性等因素驱动的个人保护行为可以显著减轻流行病的传播.
- 流行病层的网络结构是疾病和信息传播动态的关键决定因素.
- 通过了解对流行病的行为反应,研究结果为制定有针对性的公共卫生战略提供了洞察力.
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