数字政府是否可以减少碳排放? 来自全球来源的经验证据
Chun Li1, Xu Chen1, ChenXi Yuan1
1School of Statistics, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu, 611130, China.
Journal of environmental management
|March 25, 2025
概括
数字政府最初增加但随后减少碳排放,提高效率和基础设施是关键. 这种反转的U形冲击受经济因素和能源结构的影响.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 公共管理 公共管理
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
背景情况:
- 全球碳排放量不断上升,需要创新的解决方案.
- 数字政府在环境可持续性中的作用尚未得到充分探索.
- 了解数字政府的生命周期影响至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查数字政府发展与碳排放之间的非线性关系.
- 确定这种关系的转折点和驱动机制.
- 检查影响数字政府对碳排放影响的缓和因素.
主要方法:
- 使用来自159个国家的数据进行非线性建模 (2003-2022年).
- 机制分析侧重于政府效率,监管质量和商业环境.
- 信息基础设施和在线服务的门分析.
- 调节分析包括能源/就业结构和电子参与.
主要成果:
- 数字政府对碳排放产生了反转的U形效应:最初促进,然后抑制,转折点为0.328.
- 政府效率,监管质量和商业环境的改善调解了这种抑制效应.
- 信息基础设施 (门0.437) 和在线服务 (门0.606) 是关键的驱动因素.
- 发达国家和外向型经济体显示出更明显的反转U形关系.
- 能源结构,就业结构和电子参与通过平整曲线来调节这种关系.
结论:
- 数字政府可以成为一个强大的工具,在一定发展值之外减少碳排放.
- 针对信息基础设施和在线服务的有针对性的投资对于最大化环境效益至关重要.
- 政策建议应考虑国家经济结构和公民参与,以实现有效的数字治理和可持续性.
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