海平面急剧上升和地球的极地逐渐转移显示了21世纪水文系统的永久性变化
Ki-Weon Seo1, Dongryeol Ryu2, Taehwan Jeon3
1Department of Earth Science Education, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea.
概括
由于气候变化,全球土壤湿度在21世纪初显著下降,大量水流失. 如果不采取气候行动,这种趋势不太可能逆转.
科学领域:
- 气候科学
- 水文学
- 地球系统科学
背景情况:
- 全球变暖改变了陆地水循环和陆地表面流动.
- 陆地水储量正在发生重大变化.
- 欧洲中期天气预报中心 (ECMWF) Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) 提供了关键的气候数据.
研究的目的:
- 分析21世纪初的土壤湿度趋势.
- 量化土壤水分耗尽的程度.
- 研究土壤湿度下降的驱动因素和影响.
主要方法:
- 使用ERA5土壤水分产品进行分析.
- 土地水分流失与格陵兰冰川流失的比较.
- 与全球平均海平面上升和地球极移相关的土壤湿度变化.
主要成果:
- 在2000年至2002年间,土壤水分急剧减少约1614千兆.
- 在2003年至2016年期间,出现了额外的1009千兆损失.
- 土壤湿度的减少与海平面上升和极移数据一致.
结论:
- 降水不足和稳定的蒸发是土壤湿度下降的可能原因.
- 到2021年土壤的水分还没有恢复.
- 在目前的气候条件下, 未来的土壤水分恢复是不可能的.
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