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深海采矿及其对社会生态系统的风险:基于模拟分析的见解
Lubna Alam1,2, Kumara Perumal Pradhoshini3, Raphaelle A Flint4
1Fisheries Economics Research Unit, Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
PloS one
|March 28, 2025
概括
深海采矿 (DSM) 带来了重大的环境,社会和经济风险. 循环经济解决方案提供了一个可行的替代方案,减轻这些潜在的危害.
科学领域:
- 海洋生物学 海洋生物学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
背景情况:
- 深海采矿 (DSM) 是一个有争议的问题,具有潜在的好处和缺点.
- 评估DSM的多方面的风险对于明智的决策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估与深海采矿相关的环境,经济和社会风险.
- 为了比较DSM和没有DSM的场景,强调过度依赖DSM的风险.
- 确定关键的风险指标,并制定一个全面的评估框架.
主要方法:
- 进行了文献审查和专家采访.
- 质量数据和模糊的认知映射被用于分析.
- 风险指标被评估在环境,经济和社会层面.
主要成果:
- 环境因素被发现是最有影响力的风险驱动因素 (中心性: 1.46).
- "与DSM"情景表明,所有维度的风险增加,环境因素,如"沿海国家的脆弱性"上升了13%.
- 社会和经济风险也升级,分别增加了8-11%和11%.
结论:
- 深海采矿对海洋生态系统的重大风险超过了其潜在的好处.
- 循环经济解决方案为资源获取提供了一个可持续的替代方案.
- 政策应激励循环实践和资源回收,以减轻相关风险.
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