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生态环境与中黄河流域高质量经济发展之间的合关系和驱动机制
Shuo Yang1, Zhongwu Zhang2,3, Jinyuan Zhang4
1College of Geographic Science, Shanxi Normal University, Taiyuan, 030031, China.
Scientific reports
|March 29, 2025
概括
在中黄河流域平衡经济发展和生态环境至关重要. 这项研究表明,虽然生态环境最初下降,然后得到改善,但高质量的经济发展持续上升,并确定了可持续战略的关键驱动因素.
科学领域:
- 环境科学与经济学
- 区域发展和可持续发展
- 生态经济学生态经济学
背景情况:
- 实现"双碳"目标和可持续发展需要平衡经济增长与环境保护.
- 中黄河流域面临着严重的土壤侵蚀和资源密集利用的挑战,这对生态保护和高质量的发展至关重要.
- 了解生态环境 (EE) 与高质量经济发展 (HQED) 之间的相互作用对该地区至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析中黄河流域226个县的EE和HQED的时空差异化和合协调 (2010-2020).
- 在EE上调查HQED的驱动机制.
- 提出一个区分管理战略,以配合协调类型和推动因素为基础,以实现可持续的河流流域发展.
主要方法:
- 采用随机森林模型来分析驱动因素.
- 利用地理和时间加权回归模型来评估时空特征.
- 从2010年至2020年期间,对中黄河流域226个县的数据进行了检查.
主要成果:
- 生态环境水平最初下降,然后改善,而HQED持续增加. EE显示了一个"东南低,西北高"的模式,HQED是相反的.
- 2015年后,合协调程度显著增加,在东南和西北地区显示较高水平,在中心地区显示较低水平,具有强烈的空间相关性.
- 确定了关键驱动因素:森林覆盖率 (最强的积极),PM2.5度 (最强的负面),农业肥料强度和市场活动,所有这些都显示出空间变化.
结论:
- 该研究在中黄河流域中确定了EE和HQED之间的独特时空动态.
- 提出了一个区域管理策略,根据合协调和驱动因素将该地区划分为六种类型.
- 这些发现为河流流域的可持续发展和生态保护提供了理论支持.
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