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Updated: Jun 12, 2025

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在工业化前的奥地利人口中,婴儿死亡率和基于家庭的风险因素的演变:1630-1908年
Alina Gavrus-Ion1, Mireia Esparza2,3, Torstein Sjøvold4
1TFS HealthScience, Barcelona, Spain.
Journal of biosocial science
|March 31, 2025
概括
在工业化前的哈尔施塔特,婴儿死亡率在三个世纪的时间里没有显示出新生儿早期死亡率的改善. 晚期新生儿和新生儿后死亡率在中期下降,但后来增加,受流行病和社会经济因素的影响.
科学领域:
- 历史人口统计 历史人口统计
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 婴儿死亡率是人口健康和社会经济状况的关键指标.
- 历史人口面临着影响婴儿生存的独特挑战.
- 了解婴儿死亡率模式需要分析不同的生命阶段和影响因素.
研究的目的:
- 分析工业化前人口中的婴儿死亡率趋势 (哈尔斯塔特,1603-1908).
- 区分早期新生儿,晚期新生儿和新生儿后死亡模式.
- 确定影响婴儿生存的家庭,环境和文化因素.
主要方法:
- 对9086个人的多代教会记录进行分析.
- 加入点回归分析以确定死亡率趋势的变化.
- 单变量和多变量考克斯比例危险模型来评估死亡风险.
主要成果:
- 早期新生儿死亡率 (5.6%) 从1630-1908年稳步增加,没有改善.
- 晚期新生儿 (4.3%) 和新生儿后 (18.7%) 的死亡率在18世纪中期到19世纪中期期间下降,然后增加.
- 婴儿存活率受到新生儿的性别,母亲/兄弟姐妹的死亡,出生间隔和死亡危机的影响.
结论:
- 早期新生儿死亡率需要在历史研究中进行独立评估.
- 在早期新生儿和晚期婴儿死亡率之间存在明显的模式.
- 较长的时间段对于捕捉各种死亡模式至关重要.
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