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基于交叉验证的顺序设计用于随机模型
Louise M Kimpton1, Michael Dunne1, James M Salter1
1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
概括
本研究引入了对随机模型的新顺序设计方法,提高了高维空间的效率. 该方法有效处理杂的环境,为复杂的医疗保健和流行病学建模提供可扩展的解决方案.
科学领域:
- 计算流行病学计算流行病学
- 医疗保健建模的模型
- 随机系统 随机系统是指随机系统.
背景情况:
- 复杂的数值模型在医疗保健和流行病学中至关重要.
- 模型中的随机行为虽然是现实的,但会给计算带来挑战.
- 有效地设计训练数据对于准确的模型仿真至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为随机模型开发一种新的顺序设计方法.
- 为了应对在高维输入空间中训练数据设计的挑战.
- 为模拟随机模型提供可扩展和高效的替代方案.
主要方法:
- 为随机模型量身定制的新顺序设计算法的开发.
- 调整一个预期的平方离开一个失误标准,以平衡勘探和复制.
- 应用和与现有的顺序设计方法进行比较.
主要成果:
- 拟议的方法证明了在高维输入空间中的可扩展性.
- 在杂的环境和随机设置中提供有效的性能.
- 对基于代理和COVID-19模型的成功应用.
结论:
- 新的顺序设计方法为随机模型提供了可扩展和高效的解决方案.
- 这种方法提高了模拟器在医疗保健和流行病学应用中的准确性.
- 它为复杂系统中的不确定性量化提供了有价值的工具.
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