欧洲次国家人口人口减少的人口原因
Niall Newsham1, Francisco Rowe2
1Geographic Data Science Lab, Department of Geography and Planning, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK. nnewsh@ucsb.edu.
概括
欧洲人口的减少是广泛的,由自然减少和净移民损失驱动. 了解这些人口变化对于社会和经济规划至关重要.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 人口研究 人口研究
- 欧洲研究是欧洲研究.
背景情况:
- 人口下降是欧洲各地在次国家层面的一个显著的人口趋势.
- 低生育率经常被认为是主要原因,但生育率,死亡率和迁移的相互作用是复杂的.
研究的目的:
- 在33个欧洲国家的732个次国家区域实证分析人口减少的人口原因.
- 为了确定主导的人口流程和它们的相互作用,支持欧洲人口减少.
主要方法:
- 利用了2000-2018年的国家统计数据.
- 采用了分解,多变量功能主要组件分析和k-medoid集群.
主要成果:
- 确定了人口减少的五个不同的人口特征.
- 人口减少有多种原因,自然赤字 (生育率低于死亡率) 和负净移民是常见的.
- 自然赤字是无处不在的驱动因素,而净移民则影响了下降的速度.
结论:
- 自然赤字是欧洲地区人口下降的一个普遍因素.
- 净移民模式是每年人口减少率的关键决定因素.
- 特定的上下文因素 (人口,社会经济,地理空间) 与人口减少的不同原因有关.
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