分析Cuvelai-Etosha盆地1968-2018年季节性降雨趋势
Buhlebenkosi F Mpofu1, Nnenesi Kgabi1, Stuart Piketh1
1Unit of Environmental Sciences and Management, Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Science, North West University, Potchefstroom, South Africa.
Jamba (Potchefstroom, South Africa)
|April 4, 2025
概括
纳米比亚的Cuvelai-Etosha盆地的降雨量显示出波动性,在1977-1992年期间,季节较短,降雨量低于平均水平. 最近几年 (2009-2018) 出现了显著的缩短和强烈的,短暂的降雨事件,导致洪水.
科学领域:
- 气候学 气候学 气候学
- 水文学 水文学
- 环境科学 环境科学
背景情况:
- 纳米比亚的Cuvelai-Etosha盆地面临着水资源短缺的挑战.
- 了解历史降雨模式对于水资源管理和气候变化适应至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析库维莱-埃托沙盆地的50年降雨趋势 (1968-2018).
- 为了确定降雨季节性和数量的重大变化.
主要方法:
- 对历史降雨数据的描述性统计分析.
- 对50年间降雨趋势的研究.
主要成果:
- 降雨量发生在6个月 (11月至4月),在第一季度达到峰值.
- 年降雨量在200-700毫米之间,平均410毫米.
- 在2009年至2018年期间观察到雨季的显著缩短和降雨量减少.
- 2008-2012年至2018年间间歇性暴雨事件发生,导致洪水.
- 一个性降雨模式,从1月到3月的剧烈发作,被注意到,但缺乏明确的趋势.
结论:
- 库维莱 - 埃托沙盆地的降雨模式非常可变,不遵循简单的轨迹.
- 由于观察到的强烈降雨事件,应优先考虑恢复力努力的1月至3月.
- 观察到雨季的缩短和降雨事件的强度增加,需要进一步调查气候变化影响.
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