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挪威的水力发电市场动态:评估电力部门的市场价值和波动性
Kyriaki Tselika1, Stefan Jaehnert2
1Department of Business and Management Science, Norwegian School of Economics, Bergen, Norway; Energy Systems, SINTEF Energy Research, Trondheim, Norway.
Journal of environmental management
|April 4, 2025
概括
水力发电是一种水力发电.
科学领域:
- 能源经济学 能源经济学
- 可再生能源系统可再生能源系统
- 环境政策 环境政策
背景情况:
- 欧盟的目标是到2050年实现净零排放,需要电力部门去碳化.
- 水力发电提供了至关重要的灵活性和储能,以平衡风能和太阳能等间歇性可再生能源.
- 挪威显著的水力发电能力对于欧洲的能源储存至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析挪威水电的市场价值和波动性.
- 确定各种能源对水电市场价值和波动性的影响.
- 为了在不同的市场条件下使用量子回归来探索这些影响.
主要方法:
- 线性回归模型用于评估能源对水电市场价值和波动性的影响.
- 量子回归用于分析不同市场价值分布的效应.
- 河流和水库水力发电影响的比较分析.
主要成果:
- 河流水力发电对市场价值产生负面影响,而水库则具有混合影响 (对NO2的积极影响,对NO1的负面影响).
- 大多数能源,包括风能,减少了水电市场价值波动.
- 量子回归揭示了不同水力发电类型对总体分布的不同影响.
结论:
- 由于多样化,互补的能源来源,挪威的电力系统仍然可靠.
- 调查结果为市场参与者开发有利可图的战略提供了洞察力.
- 结果可以为决策者提供信息,以支持水电在不断增长的可再生能源组合中.
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