一种机器学习方法用于比哈尔邦帕特纳水分网的腐蚀率建模
Saurabh Kumar1, Uruya Weesakul2, Divesh Ranjan Kumar3
1Research Unit in Climate Change and Sustainability, Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Thammasat School of Engineering, Thammasat University, Pathumthani, 12120, Thailand.
Scientific reports
|April 5, 2025
概括
机器学习模型,包括MARS,GMDH和MPMR,用于预测水管腐蚀率. 多变量适应回归支柱 (MARS) 模型在预测腐蚀方面表现出最高的准确性,这对于保持水质至关重要.
科学领域:
- 环境工程 环境工程
- 水质管理水质管理
- 材料科学 材料科学 材料科学
背景情况:
- 水分网中的腐蚀会影响水的味道,颜色和气味.
- 监测和控制腐蚀对于保持水质标准至关重要.
- 机器学习为准确的腐蚀率预测提供了潜力.
研究的目的:
- 用机器学习来建模和预测水分网中的腐蚀率.
- 评估多变量自适应回归线 (MARS),数据处理组方法 (GMDH) 和多变量多项式回归 (MPMR) 模型的性能.
- 确定用于腐蚀率预测的最准确的机器学习模型.
主要方法:
- 在一个流水分配网络 (WDN) 中进行实验设置,用于在315天内收集数据.
- 优惠券减重方法被用来计算腐蚀率.
- 物理化学参数 (pH,温度,导电性等) 和时间被用作机器学习模型的输入特征.
主要成果:
- 马尔斯模型获得了最高的精度,R2值为0.9872 (训练) 和0.9741 (测试).
- 根据回归误差特征 (REC) 曲线和综合测量 (COM) 值,MARS显示出优于GMDH和MPMR的性能.
- 能量分散式X射线 (EDX) 分析显示,券成分发生了显著变化,表明腐蚀,铁含量从21%增加到60%.
结论:
- 马尔斯模型是最准确和最可概括的,用于预测水分网的腐蚀率.
- 准确的腐蚀预测对于确保水质和管理基础设施至关重要.
- 机器学习为了解和减轻水系统腐蚀提供了强大的工具.
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