儿童年龄估计:来自波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那新配方的见解
Emina Dervišević1, Aida Selmanagić2, Kenan Šehić3
1Department of Forensic Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Sarajevo, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina. emina.dervisevic@mf.unsa.ba.
International journal of legal medicine
|April 6, 2025
概括
波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那的法医年龄评估现在有一个特定的牙科配方. 这种新的波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那 (BH) 方程使用本地数据和LASSO模型准确预测儿童年龄.
科学领域:
- 法医人类学 法医人类学
- 儿科牙科 儿科牙科
- 生物识别信息 生物识别信息
背景情况:
- 在法医应用中,对活着的个体进行准确的年龄评估至关重要.
- 现有的牙科年龄估计公式对于波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那 (BH) 人口缺乏特异性.
- 拉索模型提供了一种数据驱动的方法,用于识别复杂数据集中的关键预测因素.
研究的目的:
- 为波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那儿童开发一个特定于人口的牙年龄估计公式.
- 利用LASSO模型在本地数据集中识别出重要的牙科预测因素.
- 将LASSO衍生模型的性能与已有公式的性能进行比较.
主要方法:
- 分析了205名7至13岁的波斯尼亚儿童的数据集.
- 评估了三个模型:适应的贝尔格莱德,适应的欧洲,以及使用LASSO规范化的线性回归.
- 使用 LASSO 正规化来选择相关预测因素 (牙,性别,总和,产品) 来估计牙年龄.
主要成果:
- 拉索模型确定了BH人口中牙科年龄估计的关键预测因素.
- 一个定制的欧洲配方,包括特定的牙 (x5),性别,总和和产品,显示了与LASSO相似的结果.
- 定制的欧洲配方使用较少的参数,证明了BH牙年龄估计的实际效率.
结论:
- 针对特定人口的牙年龄估计公式对于波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那准确的法医评估至关重要.
- 调整后的欧洲公式提供了一个实用而有效的工具,用于估计波斯尼亚儿童的牙年龄.
- 未来的研究应该专注于验证和完善这种BH特定的牙年龄方程.
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