在随机的硬币投中对不公平的错觉
Rémy A Furrer1, Timothy D Wilson1, Daniel T Gilbert2
1Department of Psychology, University of Virginia.
Journal of personality and social psychology
|April 7, 2025
概括
人们认为硬币投是不公平的,基于谁投硬币,而不仅仅是随机的结果. 这种不公平的错觉源于对抛硬币过程和结果的感知控制.
科学领域:
- 心理学 心理学 心理学
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
背景情况:
- 随机程序对于公平的争端解决和资源分配至关重要.
- 尽管存在随机性,但对公平性的看法可能会受到程序元素的影响.
研究的目的:
- 调查硬币的身份如何影响随机分配中所感知的公平性.
- 探讨在硬币投中感知不公平的心理基础.
主要方法:
- 进行了11项研究,其中5925名参与者参加了硬币投 (物理或虚拟) 的比赛.
- 操纵参与者或他们的对手是否叫头/尾,并抛出硬币.
- 评估了公平的判断,结果的满意度,可爱性和内.
主要成果:
- 参与者认为,当他们的对手投硬币时,硬币翻不公平,尤其是在输了之后.
- 获胜者感到内,并认为不公平当他们.
- 公平感受受到虚幻的程序和结果控制的影响.
结论:
- 硬币的身份显著影响人们对公平的看法,创造了不公平的错觉.
- 这种幻觉是由对控制的信念驱动的,是一种直观的,抗拒的过程.
- 调查结果对理解程序正义和在模两可的情况下做出决策有影响.
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