调整区域供暖结构与中国各省气候目标的挑战
Shuting Jia1, Xiaona Wu1, Yanghao Liu1
1College of Environmental Science and Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, 102206, China.
Journal of environmental management
|April 7, 2025
概括
脱碳中国的区域供暖至关重要. 一个新的框架表明,扩大供暖网络和推进热对于实现碳中和目标以及减少燃煤炉和发电厂的排放至关重要.
科学领域:
- 能源系统分析 能源系统分析
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候变化缓解缓解 气候变化缓解
背景情况:
- 中国的区域供暖是主要的能源消费者,也是空气污染和二氧化碳排放的重要来源.
- 燃煤工业炉 (CFIB) 和热电厂 (CHP) 是这些排放的主要贡献者.
- 目前供暖基础设施的局限性阻碍了有效的脱碳战略.
研究的目的:
- 为评估中国区域供暖行业脱碳战略的成本效益制定一个可概括的框架.
- 量化各种清洁供暖策略的减排潜力和省级兼容性.
- 评估在不同情景下满足未来供暖需求的可行性.
主要方法:
- 设施级成本效益分析框架.
- 2020年从区域供暖产生的SO2,NOx,PM2.5和CO2的排放量量化.
- 对供暖结构调整和网络扩建的场景分析.
- 评估省份与碳中和目标的兼容性.
主要成果:
- 2020年,中国的区域供暖排放了1.2 × 10^9二氧化碳和大量空气污染物.
- CFIB和CHP是主要的排放来源,贡献30%-57%的二氧化碳和46%-65%的空气污染物.
- 有限的供暖网络范围 (15公里) 限制了CFIB的拆除,在某些地区促进了生物质炉的采用.
- 大多数省份面临的挑战是如何用当前的战略来满足未来的供暖需求.
结论:
- 推迟热电站退役和扩大供暖网络到50公里是必要的.
- 推进热和储能技术对于可持续的供暖至关重要.
- 需要采取综合战略,才能在中国的供暖行业实现具有成本效益的脱碳和碳中和目标.
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