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更好的平衡:能源转型和工业重组,实现可持续的经济-气候-环境道路
Jiacong Cai1, Jinyang Huang2, Jianxun Yang3
1State Key Laboratory of Water Pollution Control and Green Resource Recycling, School of the Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China.
Journal of environmental management
|April 8, 2025
概括
这项研究引入了一种新的优化模型,以平衡经济增长与减少碳排放和污染. 该模型成功地将经济发展与环境保护相结合,为可持续的工业和能源转型提供了一条道路.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
背景情况:
- 实现社会经济发展与环境保护 (碳排放,污染物) 的平衡是一个关键的挑战.
- 工业和能源结构调整是实现这种平衡的关键.
- 传统的多目标优化模型经常与复杂的相互依赖性作斗争.
研究的目的:
- 提出和应用一种新的优化方法,将合协调度模型与传统的多目标优化相结合.
- 设计从2018年到2030年在中国江苏省协调经济,气候和环境发展的途径.
- 评估综合模式在实现平衡发展目标方面的有效性.
主要方法:
- 通过将合协调度模型集成到传统的多目标优化中,开发了一种新的优化方法.
- 将综合模型应用于中国江苏省.
- 设计了三个发展路径,重点是工业重组和能源转型.
- 预计经济增长,能源消耗,碳排放和污染物减少在这些途径下.
主要成果:
- 预计平均年GDP增长率为6.80%,控制能源消耗 (2.57%) 和碳排放 (1.76%).
- 环境污染物的每年显著减少:氨 (AN) 减少了22.7%,氧化 (NOx) 减少了16.4%.
- 与传统方法相比,综合模型显示了性能提高,成本降低,经济和环境目标之间的协调加强.
结论:
- 集成合协调度模型有效地改善了传统的优化,以平衡经济,气候和环境.
- 实现了显著的经济增长,同时大幅减少碳排放和环境污染物.
- 该模型为现实世界决策提供了有价值的工具,以促进综合社会经济和环境发展.
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