根据DSSAT模型选择水和管理制度
Mingzi Lv1,2,3, Delong Tian1,3, Guoshuai Wang4,5
1Yinshanbeilu Grassland Eco-Hydrology National Observation and Research Station, China Institute of WaterResources and Hydropower Research, Beijing, 100038, China.
Scientific reports
|April 9, 2025
概括
在干旱地区优化水和的,提高了作物的产量和质量. 这项研究开发了一种可靠的模型,与传统方法相比,可以分别减少9%和25%以上的水和肥料使用量.
科学领域:
- 农业科学 农业科学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 农业学是一种农业学.
背景情况:
- 料作物生产在水和利用效率方面面临全球性挑战,特别是在像赫塔奥灌区这样的干旱地区.
- 该地区的降雨量低,蒸发量高,水资源稀缺,土壤盐化严重,阻碍农业发展.
研究的目的:
- 为了优化水和管理策略,在Hetao灌区生产草.
- 校准和验证DSSAT-FORAGES-Alfalfa模型,用于模拟在各种管理条件下的生长.
主要方法:
- DSSAT-FORAGES-Alfalfa模型使用2022-2023年的实地实验数据进行了校准和验证.
- 模拟包括六个率 (0-250公斤/ha-1) 和七个灌水平 (45-105毫米),以评估对产量和质量的影响.
- 使用平均绝对误差 (MAE),根平均平方误差 (RMSE) 和确定系数 (R2) 评估模型性能.
主要成果:
- 该模型显示出高预测准确度,正常化的RMSE低于10%,R2超过0.9.
- 确定了最佳的管理策略:灌260-340毫米和气应用100-150公斤ha-1.
- 这些优化策略与当地实践相比,节省了9%以上的水,减少了25%以上的化肥.
结论:
- 优化水和管理可以显著提高水和的使用效率在生产.
- 这些策略减少了生态压力和肥料投入,同时保持了高的作物生产率.
- 经过验证的模型提供了一个强大的框架来模拟的生长,并指导干旱环境中的可持续农业实践.
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