加利福尼亚康多尔种群对重新引入,加强和减少废弹药污染的反应
Bruce G Marcot1, Nathan H Schumaker2, Jesse D'Elia3
1U.S. Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, OR, United States.
概括
加利福尼亚 (CACO) 的恢复取决于减少弹药和增加重新引入. 即使是很小的减少也显著改善了鸟种群规模和地理范围.
科学领域:
- 保护生物学 保护生物学
- 野生动物生态生态学
- 环境毒理学环境毒理学
背景情况:
- 加利福尼亚 (CACO; *Gymnogyps californianus*) 是一个临灭绝的动物.
- 弹药污染是CACO生存的主要威胁.
- 通过重新引入计划,CACO种群得到了加强.
研究的目的:
- 在各种重新引入和减少的场景下建模未来的CACO种群动态.
- 为加利福尼亚人口提供康多尔恢复决策的信息.
- 评估保护策略的有效性.
主要方法:
- 为雌性CACO开发了一个基于个体的生命周期模型.
- 在25年内模拟了25种场景,结合了5种再引入水平和5种减少水平.
- 用食运动模拟来预测范围的扩张.
主要成果:
- 在目前的条件下,CACO种群预计将增加到259只雌性.
- 最糟糕的情况 (没有重新引入,没有减少) 预计女性人数将下降至49人.
- 最好的情况 (增强的再引入,没有) 预计将增加到569名女性.
- 渐进的减少显示出大量的人口改善.
结论:
- 保护工作,特别是减少,对于CACO的恢复至关重要.
- 人口规模是人口健康的一个重要但不完整的指标.
- 该模型为评估恢复行动提供了一个框架,可以扩展到包括社会经济因素.
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