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一种基于风险的支柱设计方法,结合在地下石矿中的随机连续和不连续建模
Juan J Monsalve1, Aman Soni1, Richard Bishop1
1Mining and Minerals Engineering Department, Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State University, Blacksburg, USA.
概括
矿井支柱的设计应该从决定性的安全因素转向基于风险的方法. 本研究引入了一个使用随机建模的框架,以估计支柱故障概率,提高矿山安全性和防止崩.
科学领域:
- 采矿工程 采矿工程 采矿工程
- 地质技术工程 地质技术工程
- 风险管理 风险管理
背景情况:
- 矿井支柱崩是一个高后果的,尽管可能性低的事件.
- 传统的决定性设计方法 (安全因素) 无法充分解决这些风险.
- 基于风险的方法是必要的强大的矿山支柱设计.
研究的目的:
- 为矿山支柱设计提供一种基于风险的新型框架.
- 为了将不连续性效应和应力变化纳入支柱强度估计.
- 为了提高矿山安全,实现故障概率计算.
主要方法:
- 对于支柱强度的随机离散元素建模 (DEM) 的集成.
- 随机连续建模用于支柱应力确定.
- 可靠性分析,以结合强度和应力估计的故障概率.
主要成果:
- 该框架成功估计了石矿中柱子故障的概率.
- 数字建模结果使用LiDAR和光度测量调查进行了验证.
- 该方法量化了不确定性,并为设计师提供了决策工具.
结论:
- 拟议的基于风险的设计框架通过防止柱子塌来提高矿山安全.
- 它将支柱设计整合到采矿业务的更广泛风险分析中.
- 这种方法减少了支柱设计中的不确定性,从而导致更安全的采矿实践.
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