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关于SAPROF-SO在安全治疗中心监督释放成功的预测有效性

Angela E Carr¹, Sharon M Kelley², Gwenda M Willis¹

¹University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.

Sexual abuse : a journal of research and treatment

|April 13, 2025

概括

对性犯罪保护因素的结构化评估 (SAPROF-SO) 工具有效预测监督释放的男性的成功. 它的子尺度识别了一般和性取消的风险,提供了改进的风险管理.

科学领域:

法医心理学法医心理学
犯罪学犯罪学
临床心理学临床心理学

背景情况:

基于优势的治疗方法越来越多地用于被判犯有性犯罪的成年男性.
这些方法与评估保护因素的结构化方法之间存在差距.
对防止性犯罪的保护因素的结构化评估 (SAPROF-SO) 是为了弥补这一缺口而开发的.

研究的目的:

为了验证针对性犯罪的保护因素的结构性评估 (SAPROF-SO) 工具.
为了确定SAPROF-SO得分是否预测成人男性监督释放的成功.

主要方法:

170名成年男性从美国安全治疗中心监督释放后获得SAPROF-SO的回顾性评级.
与撤销结果相关的SAPROF-SO总和分级分数的分析.

主要成果:

SAPROF-SO总得分显著预测了监督释放的成功 (即没有撤销).
萨普罗夫-索复原性分量预测了整体撤销,而适应性性分量预测了性撤销.
萨普罗夫-索比静态-99R证明了增量有效性,而静态-99R无法预测结果.

结论:

SAPROF-SO是评估性犯罪者的保护因素的有效工具.
调查结果支持在释放计划和管理期间使用SAPROF-SO来管理性犯罪风险.
与现有的风险评估工具相比,该工具提供了增强的预测效用.

关键词:

萨普罗夫-索公司评估评估的评估评估的评估.保护因素保护因素复发性犯罪行为性犯罪性犯罪性犯罪

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