"林中的别"核范式:以色列在不断变化的区域安全复合体中的核叙述和实践
1School of History, Politics, and International Relations, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom.
概括
"林中的别"比喻塑造了以色列的核政策,证明了武器拥有和反扩散的合理性. 地区动态的转变可能会挑战这种长期存在的话语及其相关的身份.
科学领域:
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 国际关系 国际关系
- 安全研究 安全研究
背景情况:
- "林中的别"比喻是以色列政治话语中占据主导地位的标题,将以色列定格为一个被敌对的阿拉伯邻居包围的民主国家.
- 这种比喻在历史上支着以色列的集体身份,并证明了其安全政策的合理性,包括其核态度.
- 这种话语构建了以色列拥有核武器的权利和阿拉伯无权的范式,合理化了动力反扩散行动.
研究的目的:
- 检查"林中的别"比喻在以色列核叙述中的转移及其对核政策的影响.
- 分析这种话语是如何推动东方主义叙事的,在以色列-阿拉伯背景下合法化某些身份和行为.
- 在不断变化的区域安全复杂和关系正常化的背景下,探索这种范式的潜在值.
主要方法:
- 对以色列政治言论和核叙事进行话语分析.
- 考察"林中的别"比喻的历史背景和演变.
- 分析区域安全动态的变化对已建立的核学说的影响.
主要成果:
- "林中的别"话语巩固了以色列的核例外主义,并证明了其反扩散战略的合理性.
- 这种比喻加强了东方主义的观点,将阿拉伯人定位为固有的威胁,以色列作为拥有核能力的唯一权利.
- 新兴的地区安全综合体和与海湾国家的正常化挑战了这种话语的基本假设.
结论:
- 传统的"林中的别"范式越来越受到新的地区现实的挑战,可能会使以色列的核东方主义话语失去合法性.
- 以色列的政策制定者在重新定义'敌国'和在正常化地区调整核学说方面面临困境.
- 该研究表明,需要重新评估以色列的核姿势和身份,以应对不断变化的中东安全格局.
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