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中国广东的粮食自给自足:当前趋势和未来前景
Yi Xiao1, Jianya Zhao2, Yanglan Zhang3
1Department of Science and Technology Research, Jinan University, 855 Xingye E. Ave., Guangzhou 510632, China.
Foods (Basel, Switzerland)
|April 16, 2025
概括
广东省 广东省 广东省
科学领域:
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
- 食品安全研究 食品安全研究
- 区域规划 地区规划
背景情况:
- 全球干扰威胁到粮食系统,需要加强自给自足.
- 中国的双循环战略强调国内粮食生产.
- 广东省面临着严重的粮食安全压力,原因是人口高和经济发展.
研究的目的:
- 分析广东省粮食自给率 (RSSG) 的空间和时间模式.
- 为了确定粮食自给自足的区域差异和聚合模式.
- 为提高粮食自给自足和粮食安全提出政策建议.
主要方法:
- 在县级对粮食自给率 (RSSG) 的时空分析.
- 谷物作物播种面积和生产数据的分析.
- 对潜在的RSSG改进进行场景模拟.
主要成果:
- 米主导着谷物生产,超过了播种面积和产量的75%.
- 广东省的平均RSSG为28.14%,低于30%的目标.
- 在RSSG中观察到显著的区域差异和聚合模式.
- 模拟表明,通过提高产量和减少损失,RSSG可以达到34.14%.
结论:
- 广东的粮食自给自足需要战略性增强,以实现粮食安全目标.
- 政策建议包括保护农田,技术进步和减少损失.
- 综合战略对于改善RSSG和为国家粮食安全做出贡献至关重要.
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