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技术中断风险和独立的研发投资决定在全球供应链中的风险
Xiaoxiao Chang1, Guohao Sun1, Junhe Zhou1
1School of Economics and Management, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China.
Fundamental research
|April 17, 2025
概括
独立的研发 (IR&D) 投资可以减轻关键核心技术中断带来的风险. 这种投资可以减少发起停电的国家的损失,并为受影响的国家创造战略优势.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 国际关系 国际关系
- 技术管理 技术管理
背景情况:
- 全球供应链因地缘政治变化和重建的工业链而面临破坏.
- 关键核心技术是国际经济竞争和供应链稳定性的核心.
- 产品制造商需要策略来防止与技术中断相关的风险.
研究的目的:
- 分析产品制造商在国际竞争中面临关键核心技术中断风险的战略.
- 评估独立研发 (IR&D) 对减轻这些风险的影响.
- 为了比较发起和经历技术中断的国家的经济后果.
主要方法:
- 为两个来自不同国家的竞争产品构建双 Hotelling 模型.
- 开发游戏模型,分析具有和没有IR&D实施的场景.
- 通过对涉及企业和国家的利变化进行比较,评估停机风险.
主要成果:
- 启动技术中断可能会导致侵略国更大的利损失.
- 停电对经历停电的国家的利影响可能是显著的,可能超过发起者的利.
- 企业的IR&D投资提供了战略杆,可以减少对外国技术的依赖.
结论:
- 对国家来说,IR&D投资是管理技术中断风险的关键战略.
- 投资于IR&D可以减少技术劣势,并削弱对手国家的控制.
- 战略研发使国家能够应对复杂的全球供应链重建.
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