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一个可持续的系统来预测基于机器学习的设备能源消耗
Muneera Altayeb1, Areen Arabiat1
1Department of Communications and Computer Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Al-Ahliyya Amman University, Amman, Jordan.
这项研究利用机器学习 (ML) 增强了能源消耗预测. AdaBoost实现了100%的准确性,在更好的能源管理和可持续发展方面表现优于其他模型.
科学领域:
- 可持续能源系统 可持续能源系统
- 数据挖掘和机器学习
- 环境可持续性 环境可持续性
背景情况:
- 节能对于面临化石燃料短缺和气候变化的可持续社会至关重要.
- 准确的能源消耗预测对于有效的能源管理和规划至关重要.
- 大数据驱动的机器学习 (ML) 模型为能源分配提供了改进的预测能力.
研究的目的:
- 开发和评估一个全面的ML模型,以准确预测能源消耗.
- 在能源消耗预测环境中比较不同分类算法的性能.
- 利用数据减少技术来优化ML模型的效率.
主要方法:
- 使用MATLAB进行主要组件分析 (PCA),以减少数据的维度.
- 使用Orange 3,一个数据挖掘工具,来构建一个分类模型.
- 实现并比较了四个分类器:AdaBoost,物流回归 (LR),天真贝叶斯 (NB) 和随机梯度下降 (SGD).
- 在4.5个月的能源消耗数据集上训练模型,使用m-bus能量计每10分钟收集一次.
主要成果:
- AdaBoost表现出卓越的性能,在能源消耗预测方面实现了100%的准确性.
- 后勤回归 (LR) 实现了99.8%的准确性.
- 纯粹的贝叶斯 (NB) 和随机梯度下降 (SGD) 显示出高精度,分别为99.7%和99.4%.
- 混矩阵被用来评估模型性能.
结论:
- 开发的ML模型,特别是AdaBoost分类器,对于准确预测能源消耗非常有效.
- 在MATLAB中基于PCA的数据减少提高了ML模型的效率.
- 这些发现支持改进能源管理策略,并有助于实现可持续发展目标.
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