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为城市的可持续未来平衡优先事项:土地利用变化和城市生态系统服务动态
Kamaleddin Aghaloo1, Ayyoob Sharifi2
1Urban Environmental Science Lab (URBES), Graduate School of Advanced Science and Engineering, Hiroshima University, 1-5-1 Kagamiyama, Higashi-Hiroshima City, Hiroshima, Japan.
Journal of environmental management
|April 20, 2025
概括
德黑兰的可持续城市发展可以增强生态系统服务,如水产和碳储存,同时减轻风险. 这种方法平衡了增长与自然保护,以实现未来的弹性.
科学领域:
- 城市规划和环境科学.
- 评估生态系统服务和适应气候变化.
- 地理空间分析和模拟建模.
背景情况:
- 城市面临着日益严重的气候变化和社会不确定性.
- 德黑兰大都会地区需要规划未来的可持续发展.
- 了解生态系统服务动态对于城市弹性至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 模拟未来的德黑兰城市发展场景.
- 在不同的场景下量化和分析生态系统服务.
- 确定关键的生态系统服务优先级和空间规划需求.
主要方法:
- 土地使用模拟 (PLUS) 模型用于土地使用场景.
- 生态系统服务和权衡的综合评估 (InVEST) 模型用于生态系统服务量化.
- 通过相互关联 (CRITIC) 和模糊的地理空间多标准分析来确定优先级.
主要成果:
- 可持续发展情景显示出平衡的结果,包括牧场和耕地保护.
- 在一些情景中,水产,碳储存和其他生态系统服务的显著下降被观察到,特别是在南部地区.
- 洪水风险减轻和雨水管理被确定为关键优先事项,在减轻热量,息地质量和水产上产生协同作用.
结论:
- 可持续发展,紧的城市增长和自然保护为德黑兰提供了一个有前途的道路.
- 需要综合规划来平衡生态系统服务优先级,并尽量减少权衡.
- 基于自然的解决方案对于建立城市性和准备城市应对未来挑战至关重要.
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